I’m not sure what you’re trying to say here – that the average of two extremes is the most likely outcome? The opposing sides are both clearly ungrounded in reality, so it’s like you’ve set up not one but two strawmen arguments facing each other from miles away and using that as an illustration for an unspecific conjecture of averages between them.

Where else do you like find that kind of info? I still have a Tom’s Hardware shaped hole in my heart what needs fillin’